We’re six days from the midterm elections.
Every election is framed as the most important election ever. I suppose that is true. No past or distant future election matters more than the one right in front of us, regardless of what or who is on the ballot.
Donald Trump complained about the vote count in the 2016 election when he won! But even then, I think, he was laying a foundation for arguing that votes cannot be relied upon, enabling him to activate a mob on January 6, 2021, when he lost the election. But for his rapidly failing popularity, he might have gotten away with much worse at the midterms.
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Still, many on the left have joined the chorus of those arguing that elections are corrupt and unreliable.
To my knowledge, there is no reliable study, analysis or court case in the U.S. that establishes a meaningful pattern of corruption in vote counting; instances of organized voter fraud are rare, isolated and prosecuted severely. In every election, there are a relative handful of people caught casting an illegal ballot; voting in the U.S. remains reliable, powerful and safe.
ChatGPT found some key evidence so you don’t have to take my word for it.
Independent research rejected prominent statistical claims about 2020. A peer-reviewed study in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences examined allegations involving voting machines, turnout and supposedly suspicious electoral patterns. The researchers found that the alleged anomalies were either factually incorrect or statistically unsurprising. That addresses specific fraud claims; it does not purport to prove that every ballot was flawless. (PubMed)
Republican investigators reached similar conclusions. Michigan’s Republican-led Senate investigation found no evidence of widespread or systematic fraud in its 2020 election, while recommending improvements to election administration. (misenategopcdn.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com)
Courts examined evidence, too. In Arizona’s Ward v. Jackson, the court heard testimony and reviewed ballot evidence. It identified some human errors in ballot duplication but found no fraudulent scheme or demonstrated effect on the outcome. This is a useful example because it involved substantive examination of evidence. (elections.maricopa.gov)
Audits also supported Trump’s 2024 victory. Michigan’s statewide audit hand-counted approximately 120,000 ballots and reported a total difference of 33 votes between machine and hand counts. Harris gained 11 votes; Trump gained 10. Georgia’s audit included hand-counting more than 700,000 ballots and confirmed its presidential outcome. These are concrete reasons to apply the same evidentiary standard regardless of who wins. (Michigan.gov.)
Voting is to democracy what crowdfunding is to finance.
You can invest as little as $10 in a Climatize offering to help fund a climate-friendly infrastructure project. Despite the fact that many individuals do invest small amounts, those checks get pooled with other checks (some bigger than others) and routinely reach $500,000 or more—quickly.
Your vote may be just one vote, but by election day, more than 100 million people will vote. Control of Congress hangs in the balance. Thousands of local elections will also determine things much closer to your home as well.
So, what’s my point?
Your vote matters. Please vote.
To learn more about voting, visit vote411.org.
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